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A Taste To Start

The cynic knows the price of everything and the value of nothing.

Oscar Wilde

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Market Tasting
The Cellar — Alternative assets, ranked by momentum

Asset Price / Index Since Last Issue
Gold
per oz
$4,184 +1.7%
Real estate
REIT index — VNQ
$99.06 -0.5%
Classic cars
Hagerty Market Index
flat mkt. mixed
Handbags
Resale — Birkin / Chanel
1.4x retail avg. softening
Diamonds — colorless
Rapaport RAPI — July
stabilizing all sizes ↑
Diamonds — fancy color
FCRF — Q2 2026
-0.1% overall pinks ↑ blues/yell. ↓
Bitcoin
USD spot
$64,487 -1.9%
Oil
WTI crude / bbl
$75.69 -12.9%
Watches
WatchCharts index
37,534 +0.2% mo.
Data sourced twice monthly. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.

Tastemaker’s Note
The diamond market just posted its best month in over a year. July RAPI data shows all four major size categories flat or positive for the first time since March 2025 — small stones leading the recovery, with 0.30ct up 1.6% and 0.50ct up 1.8%. The story isn't that diamonds are back. It's that the market is bifurcating and natural stones are finding a floor while lab-grown continues to compress the middle. Where you sit in that split is the whole investment question right now.

On the colored side, the picture is quieter but telling that fancy-color prices were essentially flat in Q2, with vivid pinks the lone bright spot at +0.5% while blues and yellows softened. In essence, colored diamonds are here to stay.

Letter From The Tastemaker

For decades we’ve been sold the story that diamonds are forever. But De Beers, the storyteller itself is for sale. So, is it still the case, or did we escape into the depths of our aspirational dreams?

The question has sparked debates amongst both existing and new entrants to the market. Because humans were mining diamonds for 2,500 years, but the industry most people recognize today is only about 160 years old.

Long before De Beers democratized and standardized the practice of giving diamonds as significant gifts, royalty from all parts of the globe exchanged diamonds as symbols of love, power, diplomacy and devotion for centuries.

💍 When Napoleon Bonaparte proposed to Joséphine, he presented a ring featuring both a sapphire and a diamond. This is one of history’s most famous engagement gifts and predates De Beers by 150 years.

💍 Queen Victoria’s engagement ring from Prince Albert featured a serpent (of course, Bvlgari wasn’t first with the Serpenti theme). The serpent was a Victorian symbol of eternal love and it had diamonds among its gemstones.

It was through Queen Victoria’s influence that helped popularize sentimental jewelry throughout Europe, including diamond pieces given for engagements, anniversaries and even family milestones.

Diamonds became associated with memory and legacy. Colored gemstones were considered highly fashionable.

So, De Beers did not invent the giving of diamonds. They simply reframed the diamond from a luxury object into a cultural ritual. Diamonds were in fact always beautiful to the eye, with no convincing necessary.

What De Beers did instead was convince millions that a proposal felt incomplete without one.

A shift from a prestige purchase to a social expectation is what is widely attributed to De Beers, making it one of the most influential marketing successes in history.

Others joined in on the story → A diamond is forever, they all said. Rare, forged under immense heat and pressure, nearly 3.5 billion years in the making. It must first be unearthed through one of the world's most resource-intensive industries before passing through countless stages of sorting, cutting, and polishing to reveal its brilliance. Every step reinforces the same narrative: the scarcity, the time, the craftsmanship, and the extraordinary effort before its even brought into sellable commercial format.

→ All of that became the foundation of the diamond's perceived value today.
→ And, all of that came crashing down as the “accident” of lab-grown diamonds were brought to life.

Today, diamond prices have fallen 50% to their lowest levels this century. The real ones, that is. And even Russia, the world’s largest producer has entirely banned the use of the word “diamond” for the lab-grown man-made stones, which makes us ponder about the ethics of labeling and marketing….

Think about it for a second: we’re calling stones “diamonds” when they only mimic the real thing, whether look or feel.

So, if we can call an imitation stone, a diamond, what is the difference between a fake and real Birkin or Chanel Quilted Leather Bag?

The same thing goes for everyday fruits and vegetables. If it’s chemically made, can we call it a banana? I’d go with faux-nana 🍌 (and keep the strikethrough as a branding element 😆).

Is lab-grown really a diamond, or is it another story told through the disposal of standards?

Is the lowering of standards increasing the likelihood of counterfeit goods?
If it’s available and accessible, does it hold the same value?
Is the “luxury” still there or does it simply mimic it?

Right now, the faker is challenging the maker to rethink its purpose, when it’s been naturally obtained from the earth’s resources for billions of years, but us humans just figured out how to tell the story…

The ethical question about these industrial rocks (yes, they were initially created for that) will still exist. But what’s most revealing is the evolution of the story tied to price and value.

“A diamond is forever,” De Beers said. They tied this story by selling the commodity of natural diamonds through mining. Meanwhile, the distinction across competitors like Van Cleef & Arpels or Graff rarely markets a piece by saying, “look at this one-carat diamond.”

Someone purchasing an Alhambra necklace is buying the Van Cleef story. The gemstone is only one of the ingredients of the recipe. Graff’s business is built around the rarest diamonds. For someone spending $10 million on a museum-quality flawless diamond, a lab-grown alternative is not the substitute. They are paying for geological rarity and provenance.

And hey, a diamond is still forever, but it’s the story that needs better polish.



(Read The Future of Diamonds from 5-Course Thursday Tasting 👇)

Trend Forecast
What’s Shaping The World

01

Diamonds Are Shifting From Occasion to Everyday Wear

Diamonds are increasingly worn daily and stacked casually rather than saved for engagements, while high jewelry houses double down on rarity and craftsmanship at the top end. The category is splitting into two very different markets.

Source: Who What Wear

02

Blue Diamonds Are Outpacing Real Estate at Auction

Exceptional blue diamonds have sold for $2 million to over $4 million per carat in recent years, setting new benchmarks tracked closely by Sotheby's and Christie's.

Source: CaratX

03

One Sotheby's Sale Put a Number on What Rare Actually Means

The 11.15 carat Williamson Pink Star, a Fancy Vivid Pink diamond, sold for approximately $57.7 million in 2022, or about $5.18 million per carat. It's still the reference point the category gets measured against.

Source: Borro

04

Lab-Grown Diamonds Are Crashing While Natural Diamonds Hold Steady

A 1 carat lab-grown diamond that sold for around $3,400 in 2020 now averages roughly $564 to $1,000 in 2026, a drop of 65 to 90% depending on the source. Natural diamonds are down a comparatively modest 8 to 12% from their 2022 peak and are stabilizing.

Sources: StoneAlgo, Draco Diamond, OM Jewels, thediamondprice.com

05

The Most Valuable Diamonds Now Might Never Touch Jewelry

By 2026, over 40% of semiconductor manufacturing is expected to use lab-grown diamond crystals for heat management, since diamond conducts heat up to five times better than copper. As AI chips get harder to cool, this is quietly becoming one of the most important jobs a diamond can do.

Source: Farmonaut

Tastemaker’s Note
The line between industries is basically gone. Jewelry, finance, and tech used to feel like separate worlds. But they're just different rooms in the same house. The same diamond being worn casually to the grocery store is selling at auction for $5 million a carat, crashing in a lab, and quietly cooling the chip in your smartphone.

For the full breakdown on where the diamond market is heading — valuations, new entrants, and what the next generation of stores actually looks like — head to this week's deep dive 👇

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5-Course Thursday Tasting

The $153B Business of Brilliance 💠 (+ Future of Diamonds Deep Dive)

  1. The First Bite 🫒
    Setting the table for transformation

    A diamond took three billion years to form. For most of the last century, one company controlled what it meant.

    Technology, shifting values, and a new definition of luxury are rewriting the diamond category from the ground up and a $153.10 billion market is being rebuilt in the process.

    This week we go deep on where natural diamonds, colored stones, lab-grown, and unconventional applications are heading and what it means for investors, collectors, family offices, and anyone building in the luxury space.

    This one is for Premium subscribers only. And it is worth every penny of the upgrade.

💠💠 Something To Consider 💠💠

Some see a sandwich. Others see a symbol of excess, of rarity, and even celebration.

Luxury has always transformed ordinary moments into extraordinary ones. The question is: as more things become accessible, what will earn the right to feel rare?

P.S. Like my style (and taste)? Work with me.

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